Just released a couple of days ago, a NAHB/Metlife study on baby boomers and the 55+ housing market. Interestingly, the study finds that while a lot of boomers are staying in place, often near family and freinds, the share of individuals desiring a community to fit their needs is increasing from 2.2% in 2001 to 3% in 2007 (data reporting is lagged).
Using census data, researchers also found that age restricted home size increased from an average of 1,800 sq.ft to 2,300 sq.ft, although their was no indication that this is what active adults wanted. We have observed this square footage increase in several market segments ourselves. We believe the trend in multi-family will return to smaller square footages and this is highly possible in detached housing as well.
So what causes 55+ folks to move? Often it is for family reasons, but the characteristics of the community, the design of the home and the quality are chief considerations reported in the study. Some builders have done a good job of determining what their buyers want, either through surveys, meetings, absorption or the amount of referred transactions they've done. Currently, mobility has been effected by the current financial landscape and very little new construction is present. This gives builders a breather so that efforts can be concentrated in the next cycle of what to build. Housing stock is durable so mistakes in design have lasting effects. The era of just building anything is over so the new thoughtful designs that will come from the research side should be a positive.



